Thursday, February 28, 2013

Ibm Capm Analysis

Presented By Yuan Zhou
CAPM EXERCISE
1.IBMs Estimated important
family19881989199019911992
Intercept-0.00578-0.01302-0.00931-0.00919-0.01644
of import0.7448040.7588950.6501790.6019890.528854

Year19931994199519961997
Intercept-0.0133-0.00279-0.003930.0013550.008738
beta0.3711110.3272870.3419031.123781.34791

Year19981999200020012002
Intercept0.0193960.0167820.0109890.0152270.013698
Beta0.9432270.8535011.1423281.1300941.402587

The Beta above is calculated by regression seat. As we can see above, the important of IBM decreased gradually skeletal frame 1988 to 1995, then soared up to 1.3 in 1997. And during the following 5 year, the beta of IBM fluctuates and reversed back to 1.3 up level in 2002. In summary, the beta of IBM tended to increase for the period between 1988 and 2002, which indicated that the systematic lay on the line of IBM became a more important to concern for investor.

2.IBMs Beta: Estimate from 1 VS Figure in Summary
Year N199819992000
Estimate ended in N0.9432 0.8535 1.1423
S&P500 in N+11.0807 1.2198 1.2370
The estimate betas from regression model tend to be lower than those provided by S&P 500.



Problem 3-8 are listed below, detailed comment will be provided in part 9.

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* compute of value in for each one quintileNumber(Quintile)

Sorting result by Beta 1999-2001

1999-Beta Sorting  
Number of non-missing value470
Number of value in each quintile94(1-5)
fair(a)ReturnBeta
 134.3105060.370876
 219.7238420.753483
 314.8483340.968989
 420.5279551.198613
 534.5268211.717389

2000-Beta Sorting   
Number of non-missing value477 
Number of value in each quintile96(1-4)93(5)
AverageReturnBeta 
 15.3152210.268138 
 22.6768670.666927 
 31.9845490.881528 
 42.9105621.144654 
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